Today's Double 11.05

Tottenham – Leeds: Over 1.5 goals Tottenham 
The motivation is enormous for Tottenham now that it is really about saving their place in the Premier League. After the victory against Aston Villa it seems that Roberto De Zerbi has really brought life to the team again, and Spurs are playing with a completely different intensity than just a few weeks ago. Richarlison looked extremely fired up last time and caused major problems offensively throughout the match.

Leeds play with far less pressure now that they have secured a new contract in the PL, and often give away space defensively, which could suit Tottenham very well. With the desperation and energy Spurs are showing right now, I think over 1.5 goals for the home team looks very exciting.

Millwall – Hull: Hull over 9.5 fouls
Hull have a good chance of ending up with over 9.5 fouls in tonight's playoff return against Millwall. Hull average around 11.61 fouls per game away from home this season, and 11.43 in total. Which is higher than the line offered before tonight's match. Away against a physical Millwall team at The Den, Hull are expected to spend large parts of the match without the ball, which often leads to more defensive duels and tactical free kicks. Millwall is also a team that plays directly and aggressively, and they often force their opponents to stop transitions with free kicks. In addition, this is a crucial playoff match where the intensity is naturally higher than in a regular league match.

Today's referee, Samuel Barrott, also tends to blow a lot in physical games and generally ranks high on the number of free kicks per game. If Millwall can push Hull back in front of a very intense home crowd, the away team will likely have to resort to many stopping fouls throughout the game. With both Hull's statistics, the match picture and the referee's profile, over 9.5 Hull fouls looks like a good bet with good value.

See the full odds list here.