Today's Double 13.05

Villarreal – Sevilla: Over 2.5 goals
Villarreal – Sevilla has several things about it that point to an open and goal-rich match. Villarreal at home is a team that plays with high intensity offensively, especially when they face teams that are willing to attack back. They create a lot of pressure through wing play, quick combinations and many people in the box, and on their own turf their matches are often more open than people expect.

At the same time, Sevilla is a team that still has quality offensively, but has been far more inconsistent defensively this season. They allow opponents too many chances, especially away, and when games first open up they have had trouble controlling the tempo. This allows them to both score and concede goals in the same game.

The match here doesn't look like a typical locked affair either. Villarreal need points and rarely play to control themselves to 1-0 at home. Sevilla is also not a team that parks the bus over 90 minutes, especially not if they fall behind early. One goal early could therefore make this very open.

What makes over 2.5 interesting is that both teams have qualities offensively while neither of them appear completely stable defensively. Villarreal can easily score two or three alone at home, but Sevilla also has enough offensive quality to contribute to the total. Results like 2-1, 3-1 or 2-2 feel far more natural than a closed 1-0 game here.

Manchester City – Crystal Palace: Over 2.5 goals for Man City
The home team must keep going in the hope that Arsenal will stumble on the goal line. The chances of that happening are decreasing, but you never know, and that's why Pep probably urges full focus and everyone to the pumps. Palace has their heads elsewhere, and will play an ever-smaller final on the continent. Yes, it's still a while, but do you go 100% into the tackles now and risk losing the final? City have nothing else to take into account, and will pour it on. The home team has scored three in their last two matches, while Palace has conceded three in their last two away matches in the league.