Toronto FC - Minnesota United 12-04-25

There will be a Canadian-American duel at BMO Field on Saturday night, and while this may not be the most high-profile match of the round, it is not without nerves. Toronto FC is still without a win, but got a real boost with a 1-1 draw away to Inter Miami last weekend. At the same time, Minnesota United comes with six straight games without a loss and a cautious eye on the top of the table. It is set for a close and entertaining match between two teams with completely different flow - but with one thing in common: they know where the goal is.

Toronto FC: Have they finally picked up steam?

Toronto has struggled at the start of the season, and it has been a struggle at both ends of the pitch. But there was a slight change in mood after the strong away points against Lionel Messi and Inter Miami. Getting something from a game like that does something to the team's belief – and at home at BMO Field they have been a bit more comfortable.

The Reds have scored in both home games so far, but the leaks at the back have cost them the win. Federico Bernardeschi has not opened the scoring in 2025, but the Italian ball artist seems to be close. He had some poisonous finishes recently and seems to be in increasing form. At the same time, the midfield seems to be functioning better than before, with increased precision and rhythm in the transition game.

The problem is still the defense, which struggles to handle the speed and mobility of the opponent's offensive game - something Minnesota will test them on from the first kick.

Minnesota United: A form curve that points straight up

Minnesota opened the season with a loss to Austin, but since then they have been both solid and entertaining. Four wins and two draws in their last six games make them one of the most in-form teams in the league right now. They recently beat NYCFC 2-0 away and seem to thrive on foreign turf.

What is perhaps most impressive is that they have multiple ways of attacking. They are not carried by one star, but by a collective machinery that works well. They score consistently – an average of over 1.5 goals per game since the start of the season – and they have shown that they are able to decide through through-balls, set pieces and quick counterattacks.

The defense is also not rock solid, and they have only kept a clean sheet once in their last five. So even if they can find the net, they are still vulnerable – and that makes this matchup very interesting for those of us who like goals.

Conclusion: We think both networks will get by

Toronto desperately needs a win, and with home advantage and renewed confidence after the point in Miami, they'll probably come out on top. At the same time, Minnesota is one of those teams you don't want to face right now - they're clinical and confident, and they don't give up points without a fight.

Two teams that both score and concede goals regularly? Yes, this smells like goals – and preferably on both sides.

Bet suggestions

MLS, 8:30 PM – Toronto FC – Minnesota United: Both teams to score (1.68)

Alternative game:

Minnesota over 1.5 goals (2.25)

Long shot:

Federico Bernardeschi to score anytime (3.60)