Analysis of:
Luxembourg–Italy

Written by: Ragnar Sundberg

Analysis Information
Italy will use the summer to build a new national team after another crushing World Cup disappointment. When Luxembourg is on the other side of the pitch, memories of an episode over 20 years old are also awakened and still raise questions. Although we are primarily looking for odds, we are also interested in the stories.
The beginning of something new
To many, the meeting between Italy and Luxembourg will seem like an insignificant international match at the start of a new national team training camp. But football has a unique ability to create stories where few expect it.
When the teams meet again this week, it will be like two nations both having to watch the 2026 World Cup from the sidelines. The difference is that Luxembourg has never come close to qualifying for the World Cup, while Italy – one of football’s greatest nations and four-time world champions – has once again failed in its quest for a World Cup ticket.
This match is therefore about more than just 90 minutes of football. For the Italians, it marks the start of another attempt to build a national team that will once again become a powerhouse internationally. New players will get their chance, new relationships will be established, and the road to the next championship begins here.
A story that still lives
Yet it is often the stories surrounding the matches that remain long after the results have been forgotten.
In an interview with the Luxembourg Times, former Luxembourg goalkeeper Jonathan Joubert recounts an incident he still has no answers to. During an international match against Italy in 2003, he experienced Italian football star Gianluca Vialli allegedly spitting in his face.
According to Joubert, the incident came completely unexpectedly, and he tells the newspaper that he still wonders what was behind the incident. More than 20 years later, the question remains unanswered.
For Italy, Luxembourg was just another opponent on the road. For Luxembourg, it was a rare encounter with one of the world's greatest footballing nations and players who had achieved legendary status long before kick-off.
Results are forgotten - stories remain
The outcome of the battle has long been forgotten by most, but the story lives on.
That is perhaps precisely why no international match is completely meaningless.
On paper, this is just a friendly match between two teams that will not be at the World Cup next summer. But for Italy, it is the first step towards a new future. For Luxembourg, it is another opportunity to measure their strength against a European giant.
And somewhere in the background, there is still the story of the goalkeeper who never got an answer as to why an Italian football hero chose to spit in his face.
Football has always been good at exactly that – creating stories where no one really expects there to be any.
Betting tips and odds
Italy are about to start a new national team cycle and will be keen to get off to a positive start after the big disappointment of missing out on a World Cup spot. Although Luxembourg have made strides in recent years and become a more competitive opponent, the quality gap between the squads is still significant.
Italy should have more than enough quality to control the match and secure victory.
Recommended bet: Italy wins Odds: 1.60
Source
The story of Jonathan Joubert is featured in an article published by the Luxembourg Times. The story is based on information from this article, but written with a separate journalistic angle related to the upcoming showdown between Italy and Luxembourg.
PS! Also remember to take a look at our own fantasy league for the World Cup. You can find it here!
We will of course have a lot of World Cup material coming up, and we will try to be on the ball as early as possible. Both with day-to-day bets, but also long-term bets, which are already abundant at the various bookmakers.





