Daily Eliteserien Analysis Based on Deep Statistics and Local Expertise

Eliteserien Corner Statistics: Hidden Value Bets

Surprising Corner trends in the Eliteserien 2024/25

Did you know that Fredrikstad dominates the corner statistics? A full 78% (14 out of 18) of FFK's matches have gone over 9.5 corners – surprising for a team with a defensive reputation. With 5.11 corners for and 5.39 against per match, "over 9.5 corners" in Fredrikstad matches a consistent value play.

Top 5 Corner creators in the Eliteserien:

1. Viking – 6.83 corners per game
2. Bodø/Glimt – 6.72 corners per match
3. Brann – 6.44 corners per match
4. Sarpsborg 08 – 6.11 corners per game (surprise!)
5. Molde – 5.89 corners per game

Defensive Corner Trends: Where the Value Lies

FK Haugesund (7.63 corners conceded) and Strømsgodset (7.05) give away the most corners. But here's the insight: Molde only gives away 3.95 corners per game – second fewest after Bodø/Glimt.

💡 Odds tip: Under 4.5 corners to Molde's opponent often gives odds over 2.00 – pure value based on statistics.

Cards and Free Kicks: The Referee's Role in the Eliteserien

Which Referees Give the Most Cards?

No Eliteserien analysis is complete without referee statistics. Daniel Higraff and Marius Hansen Grøtta top the charts with over 4 cards per match. When these referees are in charge, the value of card games increases dramatically.

Eliteserien Short Statistics 2024/25:

• Molde tops with 2.32 cards per game
• Bodø/Glimt only gets 0.79 yellow cards per match (!)
• Under 1.5 cards to Bodø/Glimt = consistent value bet

Free Kick Game: The Translated Opportunity

Interesting anomaly: Teams that get the most cards are NOT the ones that make the most free kicks. Tromsø , Bryne , Sandefjord and Vålerenga top the free kick statistics, while Molde is far below.

Goal-scoring trends in the Eliteserien: Who Scores First?

Bodø/Glimt: 100% First goal scorer

Shocking statistic: Bodø/Glimt has scored first in ALL of their 19 matches this season. "Bodø/Glimt scores first" at odds of around 1.50 is actual value when the probability is 100%.

Other top goal scorer trends:

• Sandefjord scores first in 67% of the matches (underrated!)
• Sarpsborg 08 most often ends up behind (only 21% first-place finishers)
• FK Haugesund scores first in only 16% of the matches

Teams That Rarely Score: Under-Play Possibilities

FK Haugesund have gone goalless in 63% of their matches (12 out of 19). Combined with their match against Fredrikstad (7 matches without a goal), this gives a value of:

• Under 2.5 goals
• No on BTTS (both teams to score)
• 0-0 at half-time

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Eliteserien trends 2024/25

Goalkeeper guarantors

74% over 2.5 goals:

• Strømsgodset – defensive chaos meets offensive power
• Viking – entertainment guarantee at SR-Bank Arena

72% over 2.5 goals:

• Fire – Stadium atmosphere = more goals
• Sandefjord – open playing style both ways

Underperforming teams in the Eliteserien

Stay away from over-betting when these are playing:

• Rosenborg - only 39% over 2.5 goals
• Fredrikstad – only 33% over 2.5 goals
• Odd – defensive solidity gives 41% over 2.5

Our Best Eliteserien Betting Tips Right Now

Banker Game Week 35:

1. Bodø/Glimt to score first vs. all opponents @ 1.45-1.60
2. Under 4.5 corners to Molde's opponent @ 1.90-2.20
3. Over 9.5 corners in Fredrikstad matches @ 1.80-2.10

High Odds Value Bets:

• Sarpsborg over 4.5 corners @ 2.50+ (creates 6.11 per game!)
• Under 1.5 goals Bodø/Glimt @ 2.00-2.40
• Sandefjord to score first @ 2.80+ (67% probability)

Eliteserien Betting Strategy: 5 Expert Tips

1. Follow the Weather Forecast at Coastal Stadiums

Matches in Ålesund, Haugesund and Kristiansund are dramatically affected by weather. Winds over 15 m/s = 0.8 fewer goals on average.

2. Artificial grass vs. Natural grass

Bodø/Glimt and Tromsø perform 31% better at home on artificial turf. Always adjust expectations based on the surface.

3. The motivation factor

• Relegation battle: Over 60% going over 2.5 goals
• Gold Cup last 5 rounds: Under 2.5 goals more often (nerves)
• Local settlement: 23% more cards than usual

4. Live Betting Opportunities

78% of Rosenborg's goals come after halftime. Wait until halftime for better odds on RBK scoring.

5. Season phases in the Eliteserien

• April-May: Unstable form = more surprises
• June-August: Most predictable period
• September-November: Desperation = more goals and cards

Frequently Asked Questions about Eliteserien Betting Tips

When are your Eliteserien tips published?

We publish the first analysis 48 hours before the match starts, with an update 2 hours before kick-off when lineups are ready.

Which Eliteserien bets have the best value?

Corner bets and short bets are often mispriced, especially home teams over 4.5 corners and away teams under short bets.

How do you beat Norsk Tipping's Eliteserien odds?

We focus on niche markets where Norsk Tipping has less data. Corner, card and player markets often provide better value than standard HUB.

Is the Eliteserien more difficult to bet on than other leagues?

No, on the contrary. Less international attention = more mispricing. Local knowledge gives greater advantage.

Which Eliteserien teams are the most profitable to bet on?

Historically: Sandefjord at home, Sarpsborg corners, and Bodø/Glimt first-team matches have given the best ROI.

Conclusion: Eliteserien Odds Are All About Details

Eliteserien betting is about more than HUB and over 2.5 goals. With the right knowledge of corner trends, referee statistics and team-specific patterns, you will find value bets that others overlook.

Follow our daily Eliteserien betting tips for expert analysis based on 100+ hours of weekly research. And remember – life is better for those who combine football joy with smart betting strategy.

Last updated: September 202

Read also:

• Bodø/Glimt vs Molde Analysis
• Eliteserien Top Scorer Odds 2025
• Premier League Betting Tips