Vålerenga – Stjernen

The numbers clearly point towards early VIF dominance

On Friday, January 30th at 7:00 PM, Vålerenga will host Stjernen in Jordal Amfi, in what on paper is a classic top-vs-bottom matchup in the EHL. The statistics, especially early in the games, give a clear picture of how this matchup often develops.

Home favorite

Vålerenga has been extremely strong from the start this season. In the series, the Oslo team has won the first period in 7 of their last 9 matches, and even more remarkable: In all 7 of the last mutual matches against Stjernen, Vålerenga has gone into the break with a lead after the first period. This is evidence of high intensity, aggressive forecheck and the ability to set the standard early. In addition, Vålerenga is in good form these days, because since Christmas the team has eight wins and only three losses.

Made from plank city

Stjernen, on the other hand, has struggled defensively throughout the season. The team often concedes goals early, has challenges with structure in their own zone and often uses the first period to get into games. The playing style is more reactive than proactive, which has been punished against all top teams like Vålerenga, especially on the away field.

Form and expectation

In terms of form, the difference is also clear. Vålerenga scores more, concedes fewer goals and controls the games better five against five. Stjernen has shown fighting spirit, but lacks pace and precision against top teams. Everything is in place for a Vålerenga-controlled game from start to finish. If the hosts get an early lead, this could be a controlled victory where Stjernen will once again have to chase the game.

Based on form, head-to-head stats and playing style, there is a clear pattern that points towards early home team dominance and lead. I therefore play:

Ice hockey at 19:00: Vålerenga – Stjernen: Vålerenga to win 1st period (1.81)

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