Analysis of:

Rosenborg BK – Fredrikstad FK 05-04-2025

Ragnar Sundberg

Written by: Ragnar Sundberg

Analysis Information
Sport
Tournament
Elite Series
Match start
05/04/2025 18:00
Units
4 / 10
Odds

2.10

It's time for round two of the Eliteserien when Rosenborg takes on Fredrikstad at a boiling Lerkendal. Because there's no doubt, there's football fever in Trondheim again. Rosenborg, who had a brilliant end to last year, started in the best possible way with a convincing win away against Strømsgodset. Where the away field at Marinlyst was sold out 10 days before the match.

There is also football fever in Fredrikstad, and there are high expectations for the team that surprised many last year by finishing 6th. They thundered over Brann in the series premiere in front of a packed stadium, and didn't stop until they were 3-0 up against the team that finished 2nd last year. The framework for this match could not have been better.

Two teams with good results in the first round of the league, and with great support. Saturday and evening game. This is guaranteed to be fun.

Rosenborg BK – A team that is finding itself.

For many years, Rosenborg has been messing around with indecision and deviation from its own postulates. It was therefore a joy for the fans when Alfred Johansson got the opportunity last year. He was a man with the right DNA in his body. The principles were recognizable. Building a team with its own identity was music to the ears of the fans, after Rekdal had tried his way, where the principles are based more on what the opponents do, than what you yourself try. With many of the same players who were not good enough under Rekdal, Alfred has actually managed the feat of raising the quality of the player group so much that many are talking about Rosenborg once again being one of the contenders for league gold.

We think that may be a bit optimistic, but we also see why many people think this. Rosenborg's autumn season was the best of all teams, and they have started in the same way, with convincing play, and victory in the first league match, in what has been some difficult matches in recent years for Rosenborg. Now it is a home match, and we think that the team will go to control the match. We also think that they will be allowed to do that against the opponent this day. The pressure from the crowd will also lift the team forward on the pitch, and the principles are that the team should attack on both sides with both fullback and winger. In addition, the club also has more options at the top, and in this respect more to play on than in previous seasons.

We have noticed in particular the attacking on the sides. There is no doubt that the team will try to get around, to find good movements inside the box. You often play with wings that go both outwards and inwards, and also a bit of the same with the backs. This makes it difficult to defend against, and we often see that this doubling on the edge creates problems for the opponents. This is what we will try to exploit in this game. But first a little about today's opponent.

Fredrikstad FK – Dead ball and throw-ins are still weapons.

This team last year bothered the minds of many teams with their time-wasting and their enormous focus on set pieces. Every throw-in high up the field is tried to be exploited, and the team loves to put pressure on their opponent in these situations. These are principles Mikkjal Thomassen introduced into the club, and Andreas Hagen has taken with him after he took over as coach. We also saw it in the first round of the league, that this will be a big part of Fredrikstad this year as well.

The team is not afraid to get behind, to defend together and with little distance between the team parts. This is probably compounded by the fact that they know they will get the chance for a few set pieces during the match. Away against Rosenborg we will definitely see a team that gets behind, and tries to stay close, and then take advantage of the opportunities that arise, preferably in the form of a set piece. Against Brann, Fredrikstad completely dominated. Almost everyone thought that Brann looked helpless, and was never able to put pressure on Fredrikstad. We agree with that. But we still think it is interesting that Brann ultimately ends up with 7 corners.

We don't think Fredrikstad will be under any less pressure against a team like Rosenborg. The possession ended with a 27-73 advantage for Brann in that match, and we think that with similar numbers in this one, Rosenborg will create a lot. We're trying to come to a conclusion.

Conclusion – Overlap and attack on the sides.

If we imagine the match with a tight and deep Fredrikstad, which we are sure it will be. Then the challenge for Rosenborg will be, how do you get chances. We are sure that they plan to exploit their wing play.

They are much more skilled than, for example, Brann at challenging on the wing, and we think they can quickly create a few corners. What is also nice about Rosenborg and their philosophy is that the team will continue to attack even if they are leading, and they will entertain. The fans in Trondheim have grown up with the principles of attacking on the wings with offensive full-backs, and we can guarantee that it will also happen in this match. With Ceide, Broholm and Pereira, the quality of this type of play is guaranteed. These are all players who are happy to challenge.

Rosenborg has an average of 7 corners per game in the last 8 home games. But the games against Viking, Molde and Brann were not that high. If you look at teams further down the table, the number was much higher. We think these statistics will be even worse this year, and therefore try the following bet.

Norway at 18:00: Rosenborg BK – Fredrikstad FK: Rosenborg over 6.5 corners (2.10)

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