Real Sociedad - Sevilla 09-03-2025

On Sunday, two table neighbors meet, with 34 and 33 points respectively. Sevilla are somewhat more toxic in front of goal with 31 goals to Sociedad's 23, but we still plan to take a bet on the home team.

Real Sociedad – Keeps scoring at home

Real Sociedad have had two tough matches against top teams, both of which ended in defeat, but they have shown strong form at home. In their last five home matches they have scored 14 goals and won six of the last ten. They have no draws in this period.

On Thursday they played 1-1 against Manchester United, a strong result where the goal came on a penalty kick. Japanese Takefusa Kubo has been in good form in midfield and controls the game well. In defence, Pacheco is out with a groin injury.

Sociedad have scored first in six of their last ten matches, which shows that they often start matches aggressively. In La Liga, they have scored first in all of their last five home matches. This shows that they come out with high intensity, especially in front of their own supporters at the Reale Arena.

Another factor that could play into this is the team's strong defensive organisation. Despite their losses against the top teams, Sociedad have been solid at the back, and they rarely concede many goals at home. With a compact defensive structure combined with an attacking style of play early in the matches, they have often taken control of the matches from the start.

Sevilla – In a draw phase

Sevilla have been more consistent, but have drawn six of their last ten games in all competitions, with two losses and two wins in that period.

The team has not been as attacking on the road. They have scored first in only two of their last six away games. They are also struggling with several injuries, including midfielders Nemanja Gudelj and Albert Sambi Lokonga, as well as striker Adams.

Sevilla's problem has been a lack of efficiency in crucial situations. They have had the most possession in several matches, but often lack the final pass or finish that leads to goals. This has been particularly evident on away matches, where they have struggled to make their mark on matches.

Another aspect is their defense, which has shown a tendency to concede goals early. In several of their away games, they have fallen behind in the first half and had to fight back. This is a challenge when facing a team like Sociedad, who often start games strongly.

We believe the home team will take command from the start

The previous meeting between the teams ended in a 2-0 away win for Real Sociedad. In the last five meetings, Sociedad has scored first in four of them.

Based on their home record and the team's aggressive start to matches, it is likely that they will take the lead here again. Sociedad have shown that they are dangerous from the start, while Sevilla often need time to get into the game. We expect an even match, but Sociedad have a good chance of taking the lead with the first goal. And therefore we try the following bets;

Spain at 21:00: Real Sociedad - Sevilla: Real Sociedad to score first (1.82)