Analysis of:
Real Madrid - Girona 23-02-2025

Analysis Information
This year there is a bigger class difference than last season. Real Madrid at home will be a very difficult task for Girona, who have not found their rhythm this season. They have struggled with uneven performances, while Real Madrid has shown stable and impressive form. Therefore, a comfortable victory and more goals for the home team are in order.
Real Madrid – the dominance continues
Real Madrid, who are second in La Liga, have had a solid season so far. They impressed in the Champions League by thrashing Manchester City 3-1 at home, which resulted in a 6-3 aggregate victory. The team has shown strength in all areas, and their offensive qualities are among the best in Europe. The last matches against Girona have ended in comfortable wins of 4-0 and 3-0, which shows that they have a good grip on this opponent.
The injury situation is still a factor. The absences of David Alaba and Dani Carvajal mean that Madrid could be somewhat weakened defensively. However, they have breadth in the squad, and players like Antonio Rüdiger and Ferland Mendy can fill in where needed.
Kylian Mbappé has been a key player for Real Madrid this season. With his explosive pace, technical skills and incredible finishing, he has scored important goals in both La Liga and the Champions League. He has scored 17 league goals so far and has provided two assists, which has contributed greatly to Real Madrid's offensive dominance. In the last round of the Champions League, he was outstanding with his three goals against Manchester City, and his interaction with Vinícius Júnior has proven to be a deadly combination. Mbappé's presence always means that Real Madrid have an extra dimension in attack.
Girona – struggling to follow up on last year
Girona are currently 11th in La Liga and have struggled this season. They have lost their last two matches – 3-0 away to Athletic Bilbao and 2-1 at home to Getafe. Their last 10 matches in all competitions have resulted in just three wins, which is not good enough for a team that surprised everyone by taking an impressive 3rd place last season.
They have struggled defensively in particular, and with several individual mistakes they have given away unnecessary goals. The injury situation doesn't help either, as Arnaut Danjuma is out, while Abel Ruiz is uncertain for the match. The lack of stability in the defensive line could prove fatal against an offensively strong Real Madrid.
That's why we believe in a victory for Real Madrid
Historically, Real Madrid have had a clear advantage over Girona, with seven wins in the last 11 matches. Real Madrid average 2.73 goals per home match, and with Girona's defensive challenges, it could easily be a high-scoring match for the home team.
Real Madrid's strong home form could be decisive in the battle for 1st place, which is currently held by Barcelona. At the same time, Atlético Madrid is breathing down their necks from 3rd place, only one point behind. This means that Real Madrid cannot afford to give up points. With Girona struggling, this could quickly be a big win for the home team.
Spain at 16:15: Real Madrid – Girona: Real Madrid to win -1.5 (1.75)
Alternative game:
Spain at 16:15: Real Madrid - Girona: H/H (1.80)





