Analysis of:
PSV – Atlético Madrid 09-12-2025

Written by: Svein Egeland

Analysis Information
Few teams have entertained us more than today's home team in this year's Champions League. But is the away team capable of entertaining? We think so. Because there are things that indicate that this year's edition of Atlético Madrid is not the same in every way. And then it could quickly become fun Philips Stadion.
PSV – no task too big
As mentioned at the beginning; this year's PSV team has won many hearts. It started slowly, with a loss against Royal Union SG, but then they have taken 8 out of 12 possible points, where they, among other things, brought home three points from Anfield, and put a total of six balls behind Milinkovic-Savic in the Napoli cage. That's how you get new fans.
But they are in tough company, so nothing is decided. There are enough points left to secure promotion, but there are also enough points left to mess it all up. And if we know PSV right, it is not enough just to win. Man must also entertain. So expect high tempo on the ball, enormous movement and world-class attacking football when Man, Til, Veerman, Pepi, Saibari and the rest of the gang come out to dance.
Atlético Madrid – Unusually entertaining
With an average of 4.4 goals, and 5 out of 5 games over 2.5 goals, this year's edition of Atlético Madrid has been forgiven by me. Diego Simeone has been a bit too calculating and cynical for my taste, but there is reason to believe that he too is becoming generous in his old age.
They came away with an extremely strong win last time out, beating Inter Milan 1-0, but they have two losses already and need points to secure promotion. And Alvarez, Sørloth and Gallagher know it is possible to score goals at PSV. In fact, PSV have conceded goals in all of their matches in this year's CL, and there is little indication that this match will be any exception.
With Lenglet, Llorente and Gimenes out, they will probably need more than one goal to secure all the points, and maybe Sørloth will start in Baena's injury absence?
Conclusion – The underlying numbers speak for themselves
You should be careful not to rely on statistics alone. But when statistics support the impression you have, it is a useful tool. And the numbers from this year's five games confirm everything we have seen so far. Just listen here;
Of this year's 36 teams, only four teams produce more corners than Atlético Madrid. 31 corners in 5 matches gives an average of 6.2 corners per match. And if five matches are a bit too heavy a basis, I can mention that Atlético Madrid is also the team in La Liga that produces the most corners. There they average a whopping 7.13. And then it is fitting to mention that in this year's Champions League there are only two teams that have hit more crosses into the box. Today's away team has hit a total of 104 crosses, and it is quite obvious that it is around the edges that are the preferred route to the goal. And that obviously results in corners.
Fortunately, we find many of the same numbers for the home team. They have produced an average of 5 corners in this year's Champions League, and in the domestic league their matches have an average of 10.47 corners per match. And with 89 attempted crosses, they are 26 teams behind on that list.
So here we don't just have two teams that like to attack. They also like to attack via their wingers. And when the bookmakers dump the odds on goals, we try to think differently;
Champions League at 21:00: PSV – Atlético Madrid: Over 9.5 corners (1.80)





