Moss – Raufoss 08-11-2025

Then it will all be decided. We are at the end of the road. And what a season we have had. Because even though Lillestrøm has been swimming through the department, there has been no shortage of drama and entertainment. Just as we announced before the start of the season. 14 of 16 teams have gone over 2.5 goals in over half of their matches, and 15 of 16 teams have played BTS in over half of their matches. This league is the very definition of ko-ko, and now we have a match where absolutely everything is in the pot. Because after 90 minutes, the teams can either have been relegated, ended up in a qualifying place or have stayed. Talk about directing the perfect drama.

Moss – their path was gone

For a long time it seemed that Moss would make it, based only on their performance at home at Melløs. For the club, which last year played in the qualification for promotion to the Eliteserien, has been good at home in Østfold. 7-2-5 should be more than good enough. But when you are the worst away team in the division, with 0-4-11, it had to be a fight for survival in the end. Which it was.

And the situation is dramatic. Because with Mjøndalen just behind, and Raufoss just ahead, it is certainly not good to say where Moss will be when the referee blows the whistle. We know Mjøndalen will face an Egersund team that has nothing more to play for than a place in the playoffs. And if Mjøndalen wins, Moss MUST have points. A draw is fine, but I would be surprised if they go for one point here. Because that would not ensure them a safe place.

They only secure a safe place if they win. And then it is Raufoss who falls to qualification. A place no one wants. There may be a hard-working Brattvåg waiting there, or a Grorud team that knows what OBOS means. And that is exactly why I think Moss will go for victory. Especially considering how good they have been at home in Melløs this year.

It remains to be seen whether Artan Memedov, Thomas Jakobsen and Sigurd Grønli have had enough sausage in a waffle, because right now there are no better forms of defense than attack for the Mossekråkene.

Raufoss – with heavy baggage

The gang from the ammunition city should have packed something powerful in their luggage, because they have put themselves in a difficult situation. And it is actually at home at Nammo Stadion that they have failed. 0-0-5 in the last five, means that they can now potentially end up in a qualifying place if it ends with zero points at Melløs. The home game against Mjøndalen, which was supposed to secure Raufoss a renewed contract, ended with 0-1, and here we stand; with a gun to our heads and everything to lose.

But the gang from Vestre Toten just have to cling to the little hope they have, because they probably know that Moss at home is a completely different team than Moss away. But they have beaten both Skeid and Hødd away in the last five, and they should believe that Moss can also be beaten.

In addition, they are probably fully aware that they can live with a draw. But do they dare to bet on it? I don't think so. Nor do I think they are good enough to shut Moss out. And they probably know that themselves. So they have to take the counterattack chances that come. And they may soon have to throw everything forward if/when Moss gets a hole in the boil. And if that happens, Raufoss will have nothing to lose. They cannot be relegated directly, since the goal difference is so much better than Mjøndalen's. So here we can quickly get fireworks when the first goal comes.

Conclusion – heaven or hell

Strong words, but in today's football, relegation can be catastrophic. And what is in the pot here is of such great importance that we could soon have a football match of a very entertaining nature. And that's exactly why we were a little surprised by the odds.

The odds on goals are rarely playable in this department. So why is it here? Is it because Raufoss survives with a draw? Because we should remember that these teams average 3.6 and 3.3 goals respectively. And as if that wasn't enough; at home, Moss' goal average is a whopping 3.9. And Raufoss's average away from home is also 3.9 goals, actually. Incredible numbers.

But we are at the end of the road. Now it must be decided. And after 29 games and a 40-64 goal difference, Moss takes on Raufoss, who in turn has a 42-55 goal difference. Life is poorer without the OBOS league, and that is exactly why we want to go out with a bang;

Norway at 16:00: Moss – Raufoss: Over 2.5 goals (1.67)

Alternative games:

Norway at 16:00: Moss – Raufoss: Over 1.5 goals to Moss (1.84)