Mallorca - Getafe 18-05-2025

Mallorca host Getafe at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in what will be a key match for both teams, but for very different reasons. Mallorca are comfortably in mid-table and are looking to finish the season strong in front of their own fans. If they can manage to secure 8th place, which will give them Conference League qualification, it will be a more than acceptable season. Getafe, on the other hand, are fighting to secure a new contract in La Liga and need one point to secure their place next season after a weak spring season. With one game left after this one, the margins are small – and the stakes are high.

Mallorca – Can it be Conference League qualification?

Mallorca have had a solid season given the conditions. After 36 games played they are in 10th place with 47 points, and can still hope for a top 8 finish if they finish strongly. Their form has been a bit patchy – one win, one draw and three losses in their last five games – but the team has been strong at home throughout the season.

Mallorca often play a structured 5-3-2 formation, which makes it difficult for opponents to penetrate centrally. But against Villarreal, in a 2-1 win, they played a 4-2-3-1 formation. Maybe we'll see it again here. They are skilled at exploiting the wing-backs and playing out from the back.

Vedat Muriqi – The physically strong striker is Mallorca's main attacking weapon and has scored 7 goals this season. He causes trouble for most centre-backs and is particularly dangerous on set pieces.

Midfielder Dani Rodríguez has 7 assists and 4 goals, so there could be problems for Getafe here.

Mallorca has had a relatively injury-free squad over the past month, but it is expected that they will spare some players who are struggling with minor injuries.

Getafe – Saving the season and avoiding relegation

Getafe, on the other hand, are in 15th place with 39 points after 35 matches. The team is still in danger of being dragged into the relegation battle, especially as their form is very worrying. They have lost their last six matches, and seem to have lost both defensive structure and offensive confidence. Several key players have been out with injuries, which has significantly affected their performances.

Getafe has been plagued by several absences, especially in defense. Injuries to key players have significantly weakened the structure.

Mauro Arambarri has been one of the few bright spots in the attack for Getafe in the 2024/25 season. With his speed and technique, he can create danger on his own, but he needs support.

Domingos Duarte – The centre-back will be crucial in stopping Muriqi and stopping Mallorca's attacks from the wings. His dueling strength and positioning ability will be put to the test.

Getafe often use a 4-4-2 or 5-4-1, with a very compact and physical team – but the defensive structure has been weak recently, and the team has conceded 11 goals in the last six games.

Dani Rodríguez – The midfield engine has been one of the most reliable players throughout the season. He is important in the transition game and as a link between the units.

Conclusion – 90minutefamily goes against what the bookmakers think

Mallorca are likely to be the most proactive team, especially considering Getafe's defensive approach away from home. Getafe average less than 40% possession when playing on foreign turf, and we can expect them to lay low, rely on counterattacks and set pieces.

The last five meetings between the teams have been even: three wins for Mallorca, one for Getafe and one draw. The matches have been challenging for Getafe, with an average of two goals per match. In the opposite match earlier this season, Mallorca won 1-0 after a late goal.

Statistical analyses point to a low-goal game. According to models from StatsInsider and Footips, the probability of under 2.5 goals is as high as 66%, probably due to both Mallorca's solid defense and Getafe's lack of efficiency in front of goal.

But here in 90mf we have a slightly different view. Because here Mallorca looks awake in the final phase and wants a good result.

Yes, these are two teams that score little and that have not had a completely crisis-ridden season. Getafe is among the top three in the league when it comes to the fewest goals conceded with only 36 (!), but it is strange with these final matches. As previously mentioned, Getafe has had major problems and absences in defense and has conceded 11 goals in the last six matches.

Getafe should probably make it to next season in theory. In theory and practice, they only need one more point to be safe. They have two games to do that, and that will probably be secured in the last home game.

The match has a classic “relegation drama meets midfield security” feel to it. Mallorca will be motivated to finish the season strong in front of their own fans – and a possible place in the Conference League qualification is within reach. Getafe are fighting for a new contract in La Liga. It speaks for a match characterized by nerves, duels and tactical discipline.

Considering form, home field advantage and Getafe's problems both back and forth going into this match, Mallorca are favorites – and one of the goalscorers will likely be Muriqi.

Spain at 19:00: Mallorca – Getafe: Mallorca over 1.5 goals (2.55)

Alternative game

Spain at 19:00: Mallorca – Getafe: Over 2.5 goals (2.55)

Spain at 19:00: Mallorca - Getafe: Muriqi scores a goal (2.50)