Mallorca - Celta Vigo 05-04-2025

The match no one can afford to lose is being played this weekend at Son Moix Mallorca. And we love starting points like this here at 90minutefamily.

Analysis of the teams

Only goal difference separates these two, and they are seven points clear of Conference League qualification. Both RCD Mallorca and RC Celta de Vigo are on 40 points each in the table, making this match crucial to their ambitions of securing a place in European competitions next season.

RCD Mallorca – Is the team affected by the absence of important players?

Mallorca recently lost a close game against Valencia, but before that they had a six-match unbeaten streak. The team shows tendencies towards good attacking football, but lacks that last little extra – which is reflected in the number of goals scored. With only 28 goals in 29 games, they have the fifth worst attacking efficiency in the league. At home, however, they have been better and know how to find the net with the fans behind them.

There are several absences and suspensions for this match. Captain and centre-back Antonio Raillo is suspended after collecting five yellow cards. This is a significant loss for Mallorca, especially defensively, where he is one of the team's most experienced players. Coach Jagoba Arrasate may have to make changes in the defensive line, and Martin Valjent could get a starting place, although he has not shown the same consistency as Raillo.

Mallorca often play a physical and direct style, with crosses from the wingers forming an important part of their attacking strategy. Several players, including Martin Valjent and Omar Mascarell, are one caution away from suspension, which could affect their aggressiveness in duels if they start. The home team have been solid defensively this season, but a significant lapse could leave them more vulnerable against an in-form Celta Vigo.

RC Celta de Vigo – Will they get their eighth match without a loss?

Celta Vigo are in good form with seven games without defeat – four wins and three draws. The team has shown a solid defensive structure and ability to create dangerous chances on counterattacks. In Mallorca they are playing with almost the best team. Swede Williot Swedberg has been out with a muscle injury, but could make the match if he is declared fit to play.

Defender Óscar Mingueza returns from suspension, which will strengthen Celta's defensive organisation. Coach Claudio Giráldez has got the team playing more effectively in attack, with a balance between short passes and quick transitions. With Mingueza back in defence, the team can be more compact at the back, while Iago Aspas, if he gets playing time, and Alfonso Gonzales form a dangerous duo up front.

Conclusion

Celta have scored more goals than Mallorca this season – 42 in total – which places them in the upper echelons of the league, but they will still need to be vigilant to avoid defensive errors, especially on set pieces, where Mallorca are strong.

Mallorca have won 11 of the last 27 matches, while Celta Vigo have won 10. Six matches have ended in a draw. The matches between these teams have featured an average of 2.59 goals per match and Celta Vigo won 2-1 at home in the opposite meeting earlier this season.

It is expected to be a close and physical match, with both teams fighting hard for the points. Mallorca have home advantage, but without Raillo they may struggle to keep Celta Vigo from scoring. Celta are in better form and have shown the ability to perform strongly away from home. Their good attacking play could give them a slight advantage, but Mallorca will likely be well organised and will try to exploit any set-piece opportunities.

Given what is in the pot for both teams, and the heavy losses at Mallorca, we dare to make the following bets;

Spain at 18:30: Mallorca – Celta Vigo: Over 1.5 goals to Celta Vigo (3.05)

Alternative game:

Spain at 18:30: Mallorca – Celta Vigo: Both teams to score (1.92)