Analysis of:
Macarthur Fc – Adelaide Utd 27-10-2025

Written by: Svein Egeland

Analysis Information
Last weekend marked the start of the A-League, and although we held back on odds tips and analysis, the series round was very educational. Every minute was watched, and although the 2nd series round is also too early, we feel ready to challenge the bookmakers. Because if our assumptions are correct, we will be paid very well here.
Adelaide Utd – new coach, same philosophy
Under Carl Veart, everything was about getting into the attack as quickly as possible, with as many players as possible. Furthermore, you should win games by scoring a lot of goals, rather than defending the lead. And nothing was better than if the average age of those on the field was as low as possible. And that's why it was so nice that they chose to give the responsibility to Airton Andrioli when a new coach was to be chosen. The man, who for a few years led Adelaide's beach soccer team (?), and for many years was head of the youth academy, is now the team's head coach. And his knowledge of what is sprouting and growing in the club comes in handy.
We got clear proof of this in the series opener, where the average age of Kikianis, Alagich, Duzel, Yull, Dukuly and Jovanovic was 21 years old. Six players who are all intended for central roles this year. Unfortunately, Dukuly is uncertain for this one, as he suffered an injury in the series opener. He was healthy, until he ran out, but fortunately Adelaide is well-shod on the left wing. Goodwin and Muniz can both play there, and although they don't have the speed and tricks of Dukuly, they have plenty of other qualities.
In addition, we should remember that Adelaide has the league's most attacking full-backs. Both Kitto and Pierias were close to getting on the scoreboard last time out, and a bet on one of them getting a goal or an assist is never a bad idea. Speed and determination are one thing, but Adelaide also play a type of football where attacking contributions from the back are a necessity, and therefore a slower left winger can pull into the field, freeing up space for Ryan Kitto.
We should also remember that Craig Goodwin has returned home. For the fourth time. And even though he is 33 years old, he has enough qualities to carry this team. His presence is one thing, but his left foot will set up many dangerous attacks, both on set pieces and in open play. And keep an eye on Ethan Alagic. The youngster, who is the son of Adelaide legend Richie Alagic, had his breakthrough last year, where he also made his debut for the national team. A very nice player who often appears in the box.
Macarthur Fc – the loser in the transfer market?
Much of last year's season was a huge upturn for Macarthur Fc. Germain scored on demand, and Drew and Jakolis wreaked havoc on the wings. And with these three players, combined with the passing foot of Brattan, they were able to perfect their counter-attacking football. They were so good at not controlling football matches that they took 10 points at home, and a whopping 23 points away last year. The team was tailor-made for the philosophy.
But if we fast forward a few months, only Brattan is left of the aforementioned. He has indeed brought Anthony Caceres, who he played with in Sydney, but he has made himself extremely dangerous. Things can change, and we still don't know what lives in Dong-Won Ji. But what we do know is that Ikonomidis is out of date, and that Sawyer is only able to head. He is 1.95, and he is really good in the air, but it becomes very monotonous and predictable when he can only get the ball in the air.
But as I said; there is a lot of quality in the midfield of Macarthur, and maybe there are some goals there too. It remains to be seen. But compared to last year, they have not been able to renew themselves. And against an offensive Adelaide team, they could quickly have a tough time.
Conclusion – Wrong favorite
In my opinion, Adelaide should be the favourites here. I probably wouldn't have bet on them if it was them, and not Macarthur, who were at 2.30, but the odds here indicate that the bookmakers don't have a complete overview. But remember; it's the second round of the series, and our foundation is still a bit thin. But what if we're in on something, and don't jump on it? Because we think that these odds would be the opposite if this match was played in three weeks? That's why we're trying. But what are we trying to do?
I wasn't impressed with Macarthur in the series opener. They faced a hard-working but fairly toothless Brisbane Roar, and yet they went scoreless and goalless. And let's remember they were playing 11-on-10 for over half an hour. Caceres tried to thread his way through the middle, and when that didn't work, there were high balls to Sawyer. Neither of those things led to any progress. And if Adelaide have done their homework, they should know what's coming.
On the other hand, I was very impressed with Adelaide in the series opener. They won 2-1 against Sydney themselves, and they showed that they can easily keep up with the top team this year. But even though what they showed should be more than enough to beat Macarthur, I steer clear of marking games. It's too early for that, in my opinion. Especially in such an unpredictable league as the A-League.
But the bookmakers are clearly expecting goals, when the odds of over 2.5 goals are only 1.40. And that's why I think the value is sky-high in our main bet. Because one of the teams has to score over 1.5 goals for the game to go over 2.5 goals. And in my eyes, it might as well be Adelaide Utd. That's why we landed here;
Australia at 09:00: Macarthur Fc – Adelaide Utd: Over 1.5 goals to Adelaide Utd (1.95)
Alternative games;
Australia at 09:00: Macarthur Fc – Adelaide Utd: Macarthur under 1.5 goals (2.02)
Australia at 09:00: Macarthur Fc – Adelaide Utd: Dylan Pierias – goal or assist (6.50)
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