Analysis of:
Lazio – Napoli 15-02-2025

Written by: Guest

Analysis Information
The Italian Serie A is set for a top-flight clash, with league leaders Napoli heading to the Stadio Olimpico in a bid to pick up three points. Saturday's hosts, Lazio, are fourth in the table and currently hold a Champions League spot. This will be a clash between two teams with a lot to play for, and our betting tip reflects that.
With no midweek game this week, we will likely see an energetic Lazio team looking to keep all the points for themselves. Already in December last year, these teams met twice in a few days, in both the league and the cup. Lazio emerged victorious in both matches, so we can expect a revenge-hungry Napoli team this time.
Lazio
Coming off a strong 5-1 home win against table-topping Monza, Lazio bring confidence into this top-flight match. With their creative players, in an effective 4-2-3-1 formation, they have proven to be dangerous offensively, with 45 goals scored so far this season. This makes Lazio the third highest scoring team in Serie A, with an average of 1.90 goals per game.
Although the light blues have flourished offensively, there has been a lack of cynicism and routine in the back ranks at times. They struggle to keep clean sheets and concede an average of 1.30 goals per game. Part of the reason for this is precisely the offensive contributions from the full-backs and midfielders, which make the team vulnerable to counterattacks.
Despite this, Lazio are a strong team that has performed well both in their domestic league and in the Europa League, where they were in joint first place after the first eight matches. Lazio are now two points ahead of Juventus and are in contention for a Champions League spot, but with three points on Saturday they will be able to build on a solid run of form.
Naples
Napoli, as mentioned, are top of the table after 22 games in this year's Serie A season and have looked like a completely new team under Antonio Conte, compared to last season. With a dynamic and mobile 4-3-3 formation, where the main idea is to overpopulate the central space around power forward Romelu Lukaku and raise the full-backs up as wingers when they have the ball, they have proven extremely dangerous in and around the opponent's penalty area.
With 39 goals scored so far in the league and an average of 1.60 goals per game, combined with solid defensive organisation, Napoli have been rock solid under the charismatic coach. They have kept the most clean sheets this season, with a total of 12 games without conceding a goal.
Despite a painful farewell to the crowd favorite and occasional magician on Napoli's left wing, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who left the club in January for PSG, it will be exciting to see if the away team can maintain the good form they had before Christmas. Napoli are coming off two draws against Udinese and Roma - results that probably felt disappointing to the team and the fans. With Inter breathing down their necks, just one point behind, three points would be extremely important in the battle for the league title.
Conclusion
When it comes to odds on this match, there are several interesting bets:
- Both teams to score: 1.80
- Napoli over 1.5 goals: 2.65
It's always a close and even game when these teams meet, and this time is unlikely to be any different. Both teams have a lot to play for – Napoli are fighting to keep their league lead, while Lazio have had an iron grip on Napoli and haven't lost to them since September 3, 2022.
This shows that these matches live their own lives, and anything can happen. A clear trend is that there is often a winner in the matches. Lazio won 1–0 last time and 3–1 in the previous home match, which gives them the upper hand. With a total of five goals in the last two meetings, we can expect a match with chances both ways. We therefore land on the following bets;
Italy at 18:00: Lazio – Napoli: Both teams to score (1.80)
Alternative game;
Italy at 18:00: Lazio - Napoli: Over 1.5 goals to Napoli (2.65)
The analysis is written by guest writer Michael Rikstad. Would you like to try your hand as a writer with us? Read how to proceed here .





