Analysis of:
Kalmar HC – Vimmerby HC

Written by: Ragnar Sundberg

Analysis Information
Hockeyallsvenskan continues with Kalmar HC – Vimmerby HC. It is easy for such matches to get a little lost in the Olympic hype that is going on. But we are on the ball, and Kalmar HC is chasing the top of the table when they now welcome Vimmerby to a match in Hatstore Arena. The team is doing exceptionally well at home, and is clearly the best home team in the series.
Vimmerby HC, on the other hand, is fighting a battle to stay in the division. They are now 3 points ahead of the relegation spot. They will try to avoid that at all costs.
Kalmar HC – Fighting for league gold
A fantastic home form has put Kalmar in a position to fight for the league title. They now share first place with Bjørkløven, with one more game played. That means this match just has to be won.
At home, the team has been devastating this season, as I said, and has 19 wins out of 23 games. That has given them 57 points, which is 10 points better than any other team. We believe that will continue in this match, when they now face one of their favorite opponents. They have an extremely good grip on their opponent.
That will probably come in handy after they lost an even match against Sødertalje in the previous round. If they are to stay at the top, they cannot afford to lose more matches in a row.
The goal difference at home is also very good. 96-44 is the most scored and the least conceded of all the teams. That will probably also be shown in this match. Kalmar also has a lot of depth in the team, and several ranks that will produce going forward. Gerorge Diaco from Canada is the best point picker in the league, and a lot of the reason why the team is where they are. What makes it all so special is that last year he was a big star for today's opponent. He simply hasn't looked back since the transfer.
Vimmerby HC – At the bottom again for another season
Last year the team finished last in the division, and this season they are once again fighting to avoid one of the bottom two places. They are now in the top spot, and will of course do everything they can to keep the place they currently hold.
Vimmerby has the same points haul at home and away. The 24 points haul in 23 games is probably the explanation for why they are so far down. It is simply too bad. The goal difference away also says a bit about the problems. It is really negative at 47-72. This means that they have scored the second least and conceded the second most away from all teams.
They have played a number of consistent games recently, but have only won 1 of their last 4. So their form is not great.
They also lack depth in the squad. After Diaco left the team in favor of Dagne's opponent, it is Mornsjo in place 59 who is the team's best point picker. He has 24 points so far. So far behind the best. To put it simply, Kalmar has a total of 7 players who are above him on the same list.
Conclusion – Kalmar should win by more goals
We are always impressed that we find playable odds on such matches. This is the advantage of following the slightly narrower leagues.
Because this is top to bottom. A home team that must win to stay in touch with Bjørkløven. Which is also the best home team of all. Nevertheless, we find what we believe are playable odds.
It's clear that we have to bet on a handicap. But it's often the case that a team wins by two or more goals in hockey, all the while the teams that are down by one goal take out their goalie to try to equalize.
Internally, Kalmar has a huge advantage against the same team. All three matches this year have ended in victory for Kalmar. Vimmerby simply has not had a chance. 6-1, 1-6 and 2-5 have been the results so far. If you take into account that Kalmar also won all 4 matches from last year, it is clear that this is a desirable opponent for Kalmar.
We recommend playing this one early. Because here the odds will drop. But we'll try:
Hockey at 19:00: Kalmar HC – Vimmerby HC: Kalmar HC wins -1.5 goals (1.70)
Alternative bet Kalmar HC win -2.5 goals (2.28)





