Inter – Genoa 22-02-2025

Inter are unbeaten against Genoa in their previous 11 meetings between the teams, with 8 wins and 3 draws. This gives the home team a clear advantage. But now Patrick Vieira's men will travel to San Siro to try to stop that trend and shock a rock-solid Inter team, who are 2 points behind league leaders Napoli.

Inter Milan – the team that smells of blood

Inter have proven to be a strong team this season and have managed to maintain the quality of last year's triumph in the same tournament. Only 2 points behind Napoli, the dream of another Serie A title is still alive. Inter have impressed both offensively and defensively, with a goal difference of +34 (54–24), which gives them the league's best average of 2.30 goals per game.

Much of the credit goes to Simone Inzaghi, who has a clear style of play and a clear plan for how his team will perform. Inter play in a 3-5-2 formation, with the wing-backs providing the team with width and contributing offensively. Federico Dimarco on the left has been one of the team's most important attacking weapons and is ranked number one in the number of big chances created in the tournament. With these wingers as wide holders and a strong central midfielder, Inter can vary between crosses from the sides and through plays in the middle.

Defensively, they are switching to a back five, making the team compact and difficult to break down. This has resulted in 11 turnovers so far and an average of 1.0 turnovers per game, which shows the solid structure.

Striker duo Marcus Thuram and Lautaro Martinez have delivered the goods this season, with 22 goals between them. They are a constant threat in attack, especially on counterattacks where Inter are deadly effective.

Despite a solid 2nd place, their form has been a bit inconsistent in recent weeks. With only 2 wins in the last 5 games, the team has not had the same results as earlier in the season. They narrowly lost 1-0 away to Juventus last time out and suffered a more significant 3-0 defeat to Fiorentina at the beginning of February. To keep up with Napoli, they will therefore have to find their way back to top form.

Genoa - a new spring under Vieira

Genoa are 11th in the league and have had a season marked by uneven performances. With a negative goal difference of -9 (24–33), we see a team that has struggled to find the back of the net while also being too vulnerable defensively.

But after former Arsenal legend Patrick Vieira took over in November, the team has seemed to have a new lease on life. Under Vieira's leadership, they have taken points in 10 of 13 Serie A matches (5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses), and it is clear that Genoa are on the road to recovery after a shaky start to the season.

Despite a low average of 0.96 goals per game and 1.32 goals conceded per game, Vieira has made some tactical moves that have paid off. He uses a 4-3-3 formation where Juventus loanee Fabio Miretti has been moved out to the wing, despite being a central midfielder. He has impressed with his good ball handling and his overview, even if he lacks pace. In addition, Andrea Pinamonti has been an important piece offensively, especially under Vieira's leadership, where he has found his scoring form.

One challenge for Genoa is the injury situation. Although the injury list is not long, they are missing two key midfielders in Milan Badelj and Morten Thorsby for this weekend's match. This could make it difficult to match Inter's strong midfield trio and weaken their chances of taking points.

We believe in both victory and goals

This is a match that clearly has the potential to be full of goals and drama. It will be extremely challenging for Genoa to travel to San Siro and pick up points. Although Inter have had some disappointing results recently, they are expected to be solid enough to take the win, especially at home against a weakened Genoa team.

Italy at 20:45: Inter – Genoa: Over 2.5 goals (1.70)

Alternative game;

Italy at 20:45: Inter – Genoa: total over 9.5 corners (1.70)