Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart - 29-03-2025

Eintracht Frankfurt will be hoping to defend their top four spot in the Bundesliga when they host VfB Stuttgart at Deutsche Bank Park on Saturday night. With 45 points, Frankfurt hold the final and crucial Champions League spot, but they are just three points ahead of RB Leipzig and Freiburg. Stuttgart, who are in 10th place with 37 points, are looking to turn around their poor form and keep their European ambitions alive. Hopefully, Stuttgart have put the defeat against Leverkusen well behind them, where they completely collapsed and somehow lost 3-4 after leading 3-1 in the 61st minute. Frankfurt are coming off a strong 3-1 win away to Bochum.

Eintracht Frankfurt – Important match to keep the place for CL play

Eintracht Frankfurt have had a rather uneven season, where they have been strong offensively, but vulnerable at the back. The team has not managed to keep a clean sheet in the last 11 matches, and their defensive weaknesses have been a recurring theme. Nevertheless, under Dino Toppmoller, the team has been able to create many chances, as they did in their 3-1 win against VfL Bochum. Offensively, they have several exciting players, such as Ekitiké, who has been one of the team's most important goalgetters with 19 goals. As mentioned, this match is important for Eintracht Frankfurt. 4th place is by no means certain, they are only three points ahead of Leipzig and Freiburg, and they need to secure points to remain in the Champions League race. Although there are still 8 matches left in the season, these matches are important to get points from.

Eintracht Frankfurt are struggling with several injuries and absences before this match. Trapp is out, which opens up the possibility of Kaua getting a chance in goal again. He has really impressed earlier this season and is not a bad replacement. The midfield is missing Skhiri, Larsson and Højlund, which could lead to Mario Götze being pulled deeper to play alongside Dahoud. In attack, Wahi, Ebimbe and Matanovic are out, which could lead to Knauff, Uzun and Bahoya starting up front, in the delivery roles for Ekitiké.

Frankfurt won 3-2 in their previous meeting with Stuttgart in November 2024. This was an exciting match where Frankfurt led 3-0 before Stuttgart scored two goals in the end. Frankfurt has not had the best home form recently, and they have lost their last two home matches in the Bundesliga, which makes this meeting extra important for them.

Key statistics:

• Home form: Lost the last two home games in the league, against Leverkusen and Union Berlin.
• Has not kept a clean sheet in 11 games and has conceded 40 goals this season (tied for lowest in the top 9).
• Showed strong offensive qualities, especially with players like Ekitiké who has scored 19 goals this season.

Stuttgart – Must reverse a bad trend, fast!

VfB Stuttgart have had a very uneven season, and they enter this match after losing 3-4 to Bayer Leverkusen, after having controlled the match with leads of both 2-0 and 3-1. Few believed that it would end in a defeat when they were leading 3-1 in the 61st minute. The team has been subject to many defensive problems, and they have not been able to keep a clean sheet in the last six matches, and have conceded 13 goals in this period. Stuttgart has also shown itself to be solid (enough) on the road and has a good form with only one loss in their last nine away matches. Stuttgart has several promising players, such as Nick Woltemade, who has had an impressive season and scored a hat-trick in the U21 international against Spain. Sebastian Hoeneß has had his contract renewed until 2028, and it is conceivable that the team wants to reverse the negative trend they have had recently and show that they can improve for Hoeneß and a demanding fan base.

Stuttgart have several players out, including Stergiou who is serving a suspension following his red card against Holstein Kiel. Zagadou is out until May, and Al-Dakhil and Hendriks are expected to start in central defence, flanked by Jeltsch and Mittelstädt. In attack, Diehl is still out with an injury, and Demirović and Woltemade are set to form the forward duo.

Stuttgart have a pretty good historical grip on Frankfurt, winning 17 of the last 36 meetings between the teams. Their last meeting ended 3-2 to Frankfurt, but Stuttgart has always been a team that has been able to challenge Frankfurt, especially on the road. This match is open, all things considered.

Key statistics:

• Has not lost in its last nine away games (5 wins, 4 draws).
• Have conceded 13 goals in the last six games and have not kept a clean sheet in six games.
• Nick Woltemade is in good form, and recently scored a hat-trick in the U21 international match against Spain.

Target play will probably be the way to go here

Eintracht Frankfurt have been solid offensively this season, but at the same time have been very vulnerable defensively, and it is a big question whether they can keep Stuttgart at bay here. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have also had their problems in the past, but have a good away record. Let's take a closer look at potential valuable bets here:

Over 2.5 goals (1.53): We start with the low odds over 2.5 goals. The last 4 of 5 matches between these have ended with over 2.5 goals. In the league, Frankfurt has over 2.5 goals in the last 5 of 5, while Stuttgart has the same in the last 4 of 5. It is natural to expect goals here considering both teams' defensive problems, especially recently. And that reflects the odds. Then it is better to move on to the next one:

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals (1.72): This one is nice. Both teams have scored in the last 4 of 5 games between them. Frankfurt have scored in the last 4 of 5 while Stuttgart have scored in all of the last 5 games. This is without a doubt a good bet at a good value.

Over 3.5 cards (1.58): This is a completely decent and in a sense a safer type of low odds. Stuttgart struggled for a long time with discipline, but has sharpened up on that front. That said, this is a match that will swing back and forth and be physically tough. We have Deniz Aytekin listed as the referee and he has already excelled after only 1 match this season: 5 yellow cards. That gives an average of 5 cards per match, but we don't lean too heavily on that. Aytekin is a very experienced referee, and what I have seen of him shows calm and respect from the players. He can keep his cool in the hottest matches and has a generally good tone when things get heated in important matches. On the other hand, if we are to rely on statistics, Frankfurt's last 5 matches average 3 cards per match and Stuttgart's 4.8.

Over 13.5 shots to Eintracht Frankfurt (1.68): This one also fits nicely. Eintracht Frankfurt is averaging 16.31 shots at home this season and 14.69 overall. The last 5 have ended with an average of 13.2, but 2 of those games (where the number of shots was far lower) were when they were outplayed by Bayern and Leverkusen. It is noticeable, however, that there were only 8 shots in the away game against Stuttgart, which they won even though Stuttgart had 22 shots. There is no putting too much emphasis on that, the statistics speak for themselves, and Frankfurt has the tools in place to deliver in this game.

This will be an even match and the way I see it, both teams can run away with the victory here in a goal-rich affair, taking into account the teams' condition and form. We'll stay clear of marking, here's the main game:

Germany at: 18:30: Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart: Both teams score and over 2.5 goals (1.71)