Bournemouth - Newcastle 21/09/2025

"The same procedure as last year, Iraola?"
«The same procedure as every year, Howe»

Yes, because when we talk about the matches between these two teams, we have to go all the way back to December 20, 2022 to find the last time Newcastle got 3 points against Bournemouth, and the last four of those matches have been managed by Andoni Iraola for "The Cherries" and with their fluid 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 formation with lightning-fast transitions, they can shock even the best teams in the league in every match they are involved in.

BOURNEMOUTH

Located in 4th place with 9 points and with 8.28 in Expected points, it just shows that it is not because of luck that they are up there, they create a lot of chances and they were clearly the best when they beat a strong Tottenham away already in the 3rd round with 0-1. Here they had 1.59 in expected goals and a full twenty shots where six of them were on target, when we also add that they won 0-8 in corners, it shows a team that is extremely clinical when they get shots on target, and their counter-play can really mean trouble for a Newcastle who comes here with 90 tough minutes in their legs after the CL match against Barcelona on Thursday night.

The team's top scorer Antoine Semenyo with his three goals and two assists in 4 games is really a player to watch out for when facing the black and red striped. But they also have a David Brooks who occupies the other wing position and Evanilson right up front who completes a well-coordinated Troika that against Tottenham accounted for 12 of 20 shots, so this is really something for a slightly tired Newcastle team to get their fingers stuck in.

NEWCASTLE

The team that delivered a fairytale season in 2024 may not have had the start that many of their loyal supporters had believed and hoped for this year? It probably started already in the transfer window when almost everyone tried to catch up with their slip-ups to other clubs out there. And when in addition Alexander "the great" Isak decided that he did not want to be on the journey anymore, to seek his luck with the all-reds from Liverpool instead, I think the entire Newcastle team was unfortunately put a bit checkmate. But they managed to bring in players like Antony Elanga, Jacob Ramsey before blowing everything from Isak to selling Yoane Wissa and Nick Woltemade (looks like Rudi Völler's son) just before the transfer window closed. But with only one win so far against weak Woverhampton (1-0) and 0-0 against both Leeds and Aston Villa, this shows that the white and blacks are struggling to find the heir to Isak up front who can shoot them to some 3 points. Because with a loss here on Sunday and if the teams around them take points, Newcastle could soon find themselves well down in the bottom half when Round 4 is finished.

After watching them in the Champions League against Barcelona tonight, I'm sure the skills are there in the squad they have now, but Gordon will also have to serve this match due to the red card he received in the 2-3 loss to Liverpool, and with and without him on the pitch, they are two different teams. Their midfield is probably one of the very best in the league with Tonali, Guimaraes and Joelinton, but when they face teams that play with 4 or 5, there is an extremely large amount of space that has to be covered by the three and they are often outplayed when the opponent comes with quick and precise passes through the midfield.

Conclusion

As mentioned in the introduction here, this is a match that clearly shows a strong trend that the home team will get a good result here. They are fresh and rested and they have the mental advantage of not having lost to Newcastle in the last 5 mutual matches.

When we also know that Newcastle is coming off a massive physical and mental setback after a really tough match against Barcelona, ​​I can't help but go for the home team here.

England at 15:00: Bournemouth - Newcastle: Bournemouth DNB (1.79)

alternative games:

England at 15:00: Bournemouth – Newcastle: Bournemouth win (2.49)
England at 15:00: Bournemouth – Newcastle: Over 4.5 goals (2.12)