Analysis of:

Bodø Glimt – Strømsgodset 30-07-2025

Ragnar Sundberg

Written by: Ragnar Sundberg

Analysis Information
Sport
Tournament
Elite Series
Match start
30/07/2025 19:00
Units
5 / 10
Odds

2.00

We're going to Aspmyra for a showdown that's really about top versus bottom. Bodø Glimt, who are finding their form, take on Strømsgodset, who have now lost 10, yes you read that right, 10 games in a row.

Anyone who has been in a locker room understands that there is not a good atmosphere in that camp at the moment. At the same time, we have seen that when things get that bad, it can also have a unifying effect. The team has to stand together to get out of it. There have been tendencies, such as in the game against Fredrikstad last time. But they also lose this one at the very end, which is typical of a team in a headwind.

A team that is not currently facing headwinds is Bodø Glimt. They have found their form and are on a steady course towards the top of the table. This should be a class difference. The only thing that can go wrong in this match is if Bodø Glimt underestimate their opponent. We don't think they will do that in front of their home crowd. Coach Knuten was actually not happy after 7-2 at home last time, and that says a lot about this team. There is always something that can be done better.

Bodø Glimt – The goal form is on the way.

As we have described Bodø Glimt a few times now, there is no doubt that they have adopted the old recipe for Rosenborg. Because just like it was when Rosenborg in the 90s and 2000s participated in Europe. The form was often weak from the starting blocks, to get into fantastic form when they approached the European Cup matches. It seems that Bodø Glimt has rediscovered this, and the team is probably aiming to be in its best form when they try to get into the Champions League this season.

That could mean trouble for the teams that will face them now. Because we see a Glimt that is about to find the net. They have also closed the gap to the teams ahead, and if they win those remaining games, they are back at the top of the table. Where they will probably end up at the end of the season.

The team shows strength, and buys players that others can only dream of. In addition, they turn down an offer for Berg worth 120 million. No other team in the Eliteserien had done that. If you take the last match against Vålerenga, you also see that the team has many potential goal scorers. A total of 7 people signed up on the goal scorer list. How do you defend yourself against something like that. We believe in victory once again for this team.

Strømsgodset – A sinking ship.

A team that has 10 consecutive losses is of course doomed in this division. Both Haugesund and Strømsgodset must go down. It has been read and agreed. If anyone believes otherwise, they probably also believe in many other strange things that are not true.

Even though Fagermo has now taken over, the losing streak has continued. The team may have looked a little better, but with the adversity they are now experiencing, unfortunately there is no chance for this team. They score little and concede a lot, a bad recipe for points. They travel up to Norway's best team offensively without self-confidence, and will probably be very satisfied if they manage an honorable result. It can be difficult enough. Because if they choose to attack, there will be a lot of space for Glimt to counter-attack, if they fall behind, they will probably lose in the end anyway.

We still believe that it is the last thing that will happen. Whether it is chosen or not. They will be pushed deep if Glimt is turned on. The question is therefore, how long can Godset hold off. Not long we think. We will summarize under the conclusion.

Conclusion – The goals are coming.

We have looked for playable odds on this match. Because one thing is certain. The bookmakers are not happy with this Glimt team. They quickly end up in matches that can give huge odds. We therefore see that they are hedging against many goals, and many goals for Glimt. Unattractive odds on much of this. But we have found a trend that we plan to use. There are scores in the 1st half.

We have looked at the recent development of both teams, and it gives us some opportunities that we plan to exploit. Strømsgodset has conceded 2 goals or more before half-time in the last 3 games, while Glimt has scored 2 goals or more before half-time in the last two games.

Combined with the fact that this is the best team against the worst in the league, we believe that Glimt will score before halftime in this one as well, and therefore try the following bets:

Eliteserien at 19:00: Bodø Glimt – Strømsgodset: Bodø Glimt scores over 1.5 goals before halftime (2.00).

Discord server