Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen 25-02-2025

3.Liga side Arminia Bielefeld will hope to continue their impressive cup form when they host Werder Bremen in the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal on Tuesday night. The hosts have already knocked out two top teams in the tournament and are now chasing their third Bundesliga scalp, while Werder Bremen are trying to turn a dip in form and avoid another cup failure against lower-ranked opposition.

Arminia Bielefeld – underrated host could cause trouble

Arminia Bielefeld have proven themselves to be a real cup team this season. They started their adventure with a comfortable 2-0 win over Hannover 96 in the first round, before delivering another solid performance and knocking out Union Berlin by the same score. Their biggest achievement came in the round of 16, where they won 3-1 over Freiburg, a team that was initially big favorites. And a team Werder Bremen lost a whopping 5-0 to at the weekend.

Against Freiburg, Arminia created 17 shots and generated an xG of 2.0, clear proof that the victory was no fluke. They have been aggressive and direct in their play, which has made them difficult to face in this tournament. In addition, they have only conceded one goal in the cup so far, and although they have occasionally been under pressure defensively, they have resisted the pressure impressively.

In the 3. Liga they are in 4th place, four points away from direct promotion. Their form has been somewhat uneven, with three losses in the last six games, but they have won their last two and seem to have found their rhythm again. At home at the SchücoArena they have been strong, with seven wins and two draws in the last 12 games.

Before we look at the away team, let's note some interesting statistics:

• Have already knocked out two Bundesliga teams in the cup.
• Only conceded one goal in the DFB-Pokal this season.
• Has won nine of its last twelve home games.
• Haven't kept a clean sheet against Werder Bremen in 14 games (since 2002).

Werder Bremen – poor form and historic cup problems

Werder Bremen come into this match in a poor form. They have lost three straight Bundesliga games and have conceded 11 goals in those games – an average of 3.6 goals per game. Most recently, they were humiliatingly beaten 0-5 by Freiburg, a game in which Bremen struggled defensively throughout the match.

Their cup form doesn't give much optimism either. They knocked out Paderborn and Darmstadt 98, but both games ended only 1-0. Against Darmstadt 98 they had to wait until the 94th minute to decide. They also have a history of struggling in the cup against teams from lower divisions – the last three times they have been knocked out of the DFB-Pokal it has been against lower-ranked teams.

Another challenge for Werder Bremen is their poor away form. They have not won in four straight away games, and in that period they have conceded ten goals. With a leaky defence and an opponent who has shown they can create chances, this could be another difficult night for the visitors.

Summarized with key statistics for Werder's part, we see that:

• Three straight losses in the Bundesliga, with a goal difference of 1-11.
• Haven't won in four away games (0-1-3).
• Tired in the cup, only 1-0 wins over Paderborn and Darmstadt 98.
• Lost three cup games in a row against lower ranked teams.

Can Arminia continue to drop cup bombs?  

This is a classic cup match where an underdog meets a bigger club in poor form. Werder Bremen are favourites on paper, but their defensive weaknesses and poor away form make this an open match. Arminia Bielefeld have already proven they can match Bundesliga opposition, and they will definitely feel they have a real chance of advancing to the semi-finals. Arminia are this year's Saarbrücken in that sense, and could easily go as far as they did last year. The odds range for this match is variable, and there are several interesting options. Cup matches are often unpredictable, but based on the match picture and the form of the teams, here are some bets that might be worth considering:

• Both teams to score (1.76). Historically, this has happened in 67% of the matches. Werder has shown defensive weaknesses, while Arminia has been effective in front of goal in the cup. Werder should, by the way, have enough qualities in the team to be able to score at least 1 goal here, especially without major injuries.
• Arminia to score first (2.45). Arminia has scored first in all their cup matches. Werder's statistics are similar in that sense, but I think we will see such a pumped up Arminia team from the start that they go straight for Werder's throat, that they can quickly set the standard for the match. If we have more faith that this will go Werder's way, we give it 1.75.
• Over 9.5 corners (1.80). Both Arminia and Werder have a high corner average in all cup matches, they are 9.33 on average for Arminia and 11.33 for Werder. So we get good value here, in a match that can swing back and forth.

This is a difficult match to predict, but Arminia have shown that they can challenge Bundesliga teams, while Werder Bremen have had major problems defensively. The main bet here is for both teams to score, but there are several interesting options for those who are looking for value (such as a corner or who scores first). This could be an even affair, which could quickly go to extra time and penalties. A cup is a cup, and nothing is impossible! As a small side note for those who want to watch the match, it can be mentioned that those of you with Samsung TV can watch it for free on the channel in the menu (Samsung TV Plus). In addition, it can also be watched on VG Live via paywall.

Germany 25.02 at 20:45 – Arminia Bielefeld – Werder Bremen: Both teams to score (1.76)

Alternative game:

Germany 25.02 at 20:45 – Arminia Bielefeld – Werder Bremen: Over 9.5 corners (1.80)